Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $86.73 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 2 (2/23 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 3 (2/87 if you count all unique expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025

Last Week’s Results

Last week our picks fell short with AI picking a trio of long shots to win the tournament. Molinari was our best ending the first round in the top 10, but eventually fizzled out while the rest of the field stayed hot. Will Gray of PGA Tour GolfBets had the closest pick with Aldrich Potgieter who had a wide lead between the third and fourth round before losing in a playoff to Campbell

A Glimpse into the 2025 Cognizant Classic

We’re now taking the trip down to the Southeast which begins the Florida swing at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens. Winds tend to be the toughest challenge this week as players take on the bear trap.

The course details:

• Course: Palm Beach National
• Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL
• Par 72
• Grass Type: TifEagle greens
• Past Winners: Austin Eckroat -17 (2024), Chris Kirk -14 (2023), Sepp Straka -10 (2022)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

TBD

Who A(I) Picked To Win?

The AI has gone back to it’s comfort zone after experimenting with some dark horse picks last week in Mexico. The picks this week of Russell Henley, Sepp Straka and Shane Lowry are the top 3 in odds but I will say they’re all solid picks to win this week. The biggest difference this week is the AI is a lot more tame on their probability to win.

AI determined win probability:

1. Shane Lowry: Win Probability: 10%

2. Russell Henley: Win Probability: 9%

3. Sepp Straka: Win Probability: 8%

AI bet distribution for $5:

1. Shane Lowry: Proportional Bet = 2 units

2. Russell Henley: Proportional Bet = 1.62 units

3. Sepp Straka: Proportional Bet = 1.38 units

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $91.73 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 2 (2/20 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 2 (2/75 if you count all unique expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: Genesis Invitational 2025

Last Week’s Results

Last week our picks fell short after the AI decided to pick the top 3 players in terms of odds for the week. Scottie Scheffler hung in there even with some bad putting, Morikawa faded early and Rory could not make a move on Saturday and fizzled out Sunday. Fortunately I had a no sweat bet last week which saved me a little bit of cash. Thanks MGM!

However for the experts they had a great week with two of them, Ben Everill and Matthew Cradock, selecting Ludvig Aberg who won the tournament. This put the experts back into a tie with AI on choosing winners.

A Glimpse into the 2025 Mexico Open at VidantaWorld

We’re going south of the border this week for Mexico Open at VidantaWorld. A notoriously easy course where most of the top players take the week off giving opportunity to some lesser know names to get a win.

The course details:

• Course: Vidanta Vallarta
• Location: Vallarta, MX
• Par 71
• Grass Type: Paspalum
• Past Winners: Jake Knapp -19 (2024), Tony Finau -24 (2023), John Rahm -17 (2022)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

This week brings more variety in player selections than usual for the experts. The only player picked twice by the experts is Jake Knapp who won the tournament last year. He has not been playing great as of late, but the Hojgaard brothers and the Rai picks I like.

<thead>

    <tr>

        <th>Source</th>

        <th>Writer</th>

        <th>Pick</th>

    </tr>

</thead>

<tbody>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Week</td>

        <td>Riley Hamel</td>

        <td>Akshay Bhatia</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Week</td>

        <td>Riley Hamel</td>

        <td>Aaron Rai</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Monthly</td>

        <td>Elliot Heath</td>

        <td>Patrick Rodgers</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Monthly</td>

        <td>Elliot Heath</td>

        <td>Matt Wallace</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Monthly</td>

        <td>Matt Cradock</td>

        <td>Sam Stevens</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Monthly</td>

        <td>Matt Cradock</td>

        <td>Vincent Norrman</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Monthly</td>

        <td>Jonny Leighfield</td>

        <td>Rasmus Hojgaard</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>Golf Monthly</td>

        <td>Jonny Leighfield</td>

        <td>Jake Knapp</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

        <td>Will Gray</td>

        <td>Justin Lower</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

        <td>Will Gray</td>

        <td>Aldrich Potgieter</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

        <td>Ben Everill</td>

        <td>Alex Smalley</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

        <td>Ben Everill</td>

        <td>Jake Knapp</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

        <td>Chris Breece</td>

        <td>Alex Smalley</td>

    </tr>

    <tr>

        <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

        <td>Chris Breece</td>

        <td>Nicolai Højgaard</td>

    </tr>

</tbody>

Who A(I) Picked To Win?

I thought last week was AI’s toughest week to pick but after battling some hallucinations and finally getting it to pick players in the actual field it landed on a very interesting mix of players. The three players decided on are Francesco Molinari (+30000), Patton Kizzire (+12500), and Riley Lewis (+100000) who I have never heard of before. What’s even more shocking is the win probability AI assigned to these players given their absurd odds. If any of these players somehow win it will bump us up significantly from our $5 weekly spend budget and I’d be in complete shock.

AI determined win probability:

1. Francesco Molinari: Win Probability: 40%

2. Patton Kizzire: Win Probability: 35%

3. Riley Lewis: Win Probability: 25%

AI bet distribution for $5:

1. Francesco Molinari: Proportional Bet = 2 units

2. Patton Kizzire: Proportional Bet = 1.75 units

3. Riley Lewis: Proportional Bet = 1.25 units

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $94.73 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 2 (2/17 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 1 (1/63 if you count all unique expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025

Last Week’s Results

Unfortunately my scheduled didn’t allow for a post to be made for last week’s Waste Management Open, however our AI model had success at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The top picked player was Scottie Scheffler, not surprisingly, but it was Rory McIlroy as the number two pick who pulled out a big win for us.

With Rory and the AI’s win at Pebble Beach it brought our bankroll back to $94.73 6 weeks into the experiment.

A Glimpse into the 2025 Genesis Invitational

With the recent wildfires in SoCal the Genesis had to move to Torrey Pines so I’ve copy-pasta’d the details from a few weeks ago since past results don’t mean much now for Riviera Country Club.

The course details:

• Course: Torrey Pines (South Course)
• Location: San Diego, CA
• Par 72
• Grass Type: Fairways: Kikuyu overseeded with Rye & Greens: Bentgrass with Poa Annua
• Past Winners: Matthieu Pavon – 13 (2024), Max Homa -13 (2023), Luke List -15 (2022), Patrick Reed -14 (2021), Marc Leishman -15 (2020)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

The only player that had multiple selections this week by the experts is Rory McIlroy. Rory dominated in difficult conditions at Pebble Beach to capture his first victory of the year and the experts are doubling down on him this week at Torrey Pines.

Who A(I) Picked To Win?

This may be AI’s most difficult week as it’s comparing a field of players to a tournament that doesn’t line up with the course that it typically plays. I provide next to no guidance and let it do it’s thing. Fortunately AI is typically cautious always picking the best players to win. We’ll see if AI can shake off the confusion and go back to back with picking the correct winner this week as it picks the players with the 3 best odds. In this case AI think the top 3 players have a 90% chance of beating the field.

AI determined win probability:

1. Scottie Scheffler: Win Probability: 40%

2. Rory McIlroy: Win Probability: 30%

3. Collin Morikawa: Win Probability: 20%

AI bet distribution for $5:

1. Scottie Scheffler: Proportional Bet = 2.12 units

2. Rory McIlroy: Proportional Bet = 1.69 units

3. Collin Morikawa: Proportional Bet = 1.19 units

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $80.23 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 1 (1/14 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 1 (1/53 if you count all unique expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: Farmers Insurance Open 2025

Last Week’s Results

Last week our AI picked Max Homa with the highest probability to win and it was apparent that would not be the case almost immediately after he teed off in the first round. Tony Finau was the second most likely to win and he failed to make the cut too. Jason Day was the last pick to win who hung around for the first 3 rounds of the tournament and eventually shot a +4 in the final round all but ruining his chances to win.

A Glimpse into the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Moving up the coast to Pebble Beach along the PGA Tour’s west coast swing we have the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am where amateurs and pros get to play together on two courses between Pebble Beach and Spyglass. This is another easier tournament with scores ranging around the 17 to 19 under par mark.

The course details:

• Course: Pebble Beach & Spyglass
• Location: Monterey, CA
• Par 72 (both courses)
• Grass Type: Poa Annua & Rye Grass
• Past Winners: Wyndham Clark – 17 (2024), Justin Rose -18 (2023), Tom Hoge -19 (2022), Daniel Berger – 18 (2021), Nick Taylor -19 (2020)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

The experts are heavy on Ludvig Aberg and Jason Day again this week who were also popular picks last week. Aberg got off to a hot start and then couldn’t keep the momentum rolling whereas JDay stayed pretty consistent until faltering in the final round. We’ll see how the experts fair this week further up the California coast.

<tr>

    <th>Source</th>

    <th>Writer</th>

    <th>Pick</th>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Week</td>

    <td>Riley Hamel</td>

    <td>Jason Day</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Week</td>

    <td>Riley Hamel</td>

    <td>Beau Hossler</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Week</td>

    <td>Riley Hamel</td>

    <td>Ludvig Aberg</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Monthly</td>

    <td>Elliot Heath</td>

    <td>Patrick Cantlay</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Monthly</td>

    <td>Elliot Heath</td>

    <td>Taylor Pendrith</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Monthly</td>

    <td>Matt Cradock</td>

    <td>Hideki Matsuyama</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Monthly</td>

    <td>Matt Cradock</td>

    <td>Justin Rose</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Monthly</td>

    <td>Jonny Leighfield</td>

    <td>Collin Morikawa</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>Golf Monthly</td>

    <td>Jonny Leighfield</td>

    <td>Keegan Bradley</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

    <td>Will Gray</td>

    <td>Collin Morikawa</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

    <td>Will Gray</td>

    <td>Taylor Pendrith</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

    <td>Ben Everill</td>

    <td>Ludvig Aberg</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

    <td>Ben Everill</td>

    <td>Jason Day</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

    <td>Chris Breece</td>

    <td>Ludvig Aberg</td>

</tr>

<tr>

    <td>PGA Tour Golfbets</td>

    <td>Chris Breece</td>

    <td>Eric Cole</td>

</tr>

Who I Picked To Win?

Based on the analysis, the AI picked the three best odds this week to win which are Scottie Scheffler, Rory Mcilroy and Collin Morikawa. This is not surprising as they have strong course history and have been playing well. It’ll be interesting to see how Scottie returns to form after a hand injury and it being Rory’s first tournament of the year. Collin self proclaimed that he’s striking it like prime Tiger Woods…no comment.

AI determined win probability:

1. Scottie Scheffler: Win Probability: 24%

2. Rory McIlroy: Win Probability: 10%

3. Collin Morikawa: Win Probability: 6.25%

AI bet distribution for $5:

1. Scottie Scheffler: Proportional Bet = 2.50 units

2. Rory McIlroy: Proportional Bet = 1.5 units

3. Collin Morikawa: Proportional Bet = 1 units

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $85.23 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 1 (1/11 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 1 (1/42 if you count all unique expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: The American Express 2025

Last Week’s Results

Last week our AI picks chose Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Sungae Im. The AI had another strong week picking finishers placing 2nd (Justin Thomas) and tied for 5th (Patrick Cantlay), while Sungae Im failed to make the cut.

Justin Thomas stayed in it all week, but Sepp Straka separated himself from the field in the third round and never looked back eventually winning the tournament.

A Glimpse into the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open

Torrey Pines brings some added difficult especially when compared to the most recent tournaments, but similar to last week the players will rotate between the North and South courses.

The course details:

• Course: Torrey Pines (North & South)
• Location: San Diego, CA
• Par 72
• Grass Type: Fairways: Kikuyu overseeded with Rye & Greens: Bentgrass with Poa Annua
• Past Winners: Matthieu Pavon – 13 (2024), Max Homa -13 (2023), Luke List -15 (2022), Patrick Reed -14 (2021), Marc Leishman -15 (2020)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

The experts like Jason Day after a strong performance at The American Express last week and prior years performance Torrey Pines. Will Zalatoris and Stephen Jaeger are two other popular picks this week putting together a string of strong performances to start the year.

Who I Picked To Win?

Based on the analysis, the AI determined Max Homa, Tony Finau and Jason Day are the most likely to win. This is a bit different than the AI’s typical selection of picking the three best odds as these 3 fall slightly lower down the list. It’s also very bullish on Max Homa picking him for the second time in three weeks. Jason Day is coming off a strong finish at The American Express last week.

1. Max Homa: Win Probability: 15%

2. Tony Finau: Win Probability: 12%

3. Jason Day: Win Probability: 10%

Then distributing the bets using Kelly Criterion across the $5 came out to the below:

1. Max Homa: Proportional Bet = 2.09 units

2. Tony Finau: Proportional Bet = 1.65 units

3. Jason Day: Proportional Bet = 1.26 units

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $90.23 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 1 (1/8 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 1 (1/27 if you count all unique expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: Sony Open 2025

Last Week’s Results

Last week our AI picks chose Hideki Matsuyama, Keegan Bradley and Corey Conners. It’s tough to win back to back and Hideki just barely made the cut before finishing strong on Sunday though he was never in contention. Keegan Bradley started in contention on Sunday but after an early round 4 bogey he never was able to get the momentum going that he needed to close out strong. Conners…didn’t even make the cut.

Keegan and Conners were both picked once by the experts, but out of the picks they made 12 unique players picked by the experts, none of them won. It was ultimately Nick Taylor who prevailed as the winner in a playoff against.

A Glimpse into the 2025 American Express Tournament

It’s another notoriously easy course with the last 17 winners scoring -20 under par or better. Here the players cycle between 3 par 72 courses in La Quinta, CA before finish on PGA West La Quinta for the final round

The course details:

• Course: Three Courses
• Location: La Quinta, CA
• Par 72
• Grass Type: TifEagle Bermudagrass
• Past Winners: Nick Dunlap – 29 (2024), John Rahm -27 (2023), Hudson Swafford -23 (2022), Si Woo Kim -23 (2021), Andrew Landry -26 (2020)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

TBD when all the picks are published.

Who I Picked To Win?

Based on the analysis, the AI determined Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Sungae Im were the most likely to win. This makes sense considering they are the top ¾ players with the best odds to win. However, after placing my original bets Schauffle withdrew and I had to rerun the analysis. Here are the implied percentages based on additional data AI used to determine its picks.

1. Patrick Cantlay: 10%

2. Justin Thomas: 8%

3. Sungjae Im: 7%

Using the Kelly Criterion for the $5 weekly bet it broke down the bet sizes to:

1. Patrick Cantlay: $2.33

2. Justin Thomas: $1.47

3. Sungjae Im: $1.20

Personally, not accounting for the AI analysis I would be looking at Si Woo Kim, Will Zalatoris and Adam Hadwin.

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $95.23 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 1 (1/5 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 1 (1/26 if you count all expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: The Sentry 2025

Last Week’s Results

Last week our AI picks chose Collin Morikawa and Max Homa. Morikawa stayed in contention from start to finish, however a poor start to his final round all but ruined his chances and left him to finish comfortably in second place behind Matsuyama who set records across the board. Homa, our other pick, continued his inconsistent play ultimately finishing at T26.

We weren’t alone in our picks last week with 3/7 experts also choosing Collin Morikawa and none of them choosing Hideki.

A Glimpse into the 2025 Sony Open Tournament

We’re officially back to a fully staffed tournament effectively lessening our chances to pick the right winner. It’s another notoriously easy course with 4 out of the last 5 years with scores -15 under or better. The biggest difference to last week is a drop from a par 73 down to a par 70.

The course details:

• Course: Waialae Country Club
• Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
• Par 70
• Grass Type: Bermuda
• Past Winners: Grayson Murray RIP – 17 (2024), Si Woo Kim -18 (2023), Hideki Matsuyama -23 (2022), Kevin Na -21 (2021), Cameron Smith -11 (2020)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

After dropping a goose egg, our experts will look to redeem themselves this week. The overwhelming favorites here for the experts are Maverick McNealy with 4 selections followed by Russell Henley with 3 selections. The surprising dark horse that shows up in 2 picks is Taylor Montgomery. Full breakdown of the expert picks down below:

Who AI Picked To Win the Sony Open?

Based on the analysis, the AI determined the following players to win weighting their odds based on current form and tournament history. Hideki is a safe choice here after setting records at the Sentry and winning this event before. He could become the third player and first since Justin Thomas in 2017 to go back to back at The Sentry and Sony Open. Other picks Conners finished T5 and Bradley T15 last week with strong course history here in Hawaii.

• Hideki Matsuyama: 15%
• Corey Conners: 12%
• Keegan Bradley: 10%

Then when factoring in the Kelly Criterion to place Hideki earned a $1.87 bet, Conners at $1.40 and Keegan receiving $1.73. The bets and payouts can be seen below.

Skin Care Aging Tool & Resource Center

This project is the one I’m putting more effort into as I think there is a better opportunity to monetize it through a skincare newsletter and through affiliate sales when recommending skincare products in the associated blog content. If the site’s traffic grows enough I could also add some non-invasive ads.

For the month of December, I focused heavily on blog content adding 6 pieces of content. I want to target adding 1-2 posts to the blog each week in an effort to gain some organic traffic.

Key Stats:

• Blog Posts: 6 (+6 for the month)
• Email Signups: 0
• User Interactions: 88

For the 88 users that submitted to the tool, 0 of them signed up for the newsletter. Some quick research shows that newsletter signups are typically around 2% so I will let this ride for a little bit longer before looking into it further.

From a search perspective, I’ve been having issues with Bing Webmasters indexing my website. For some reason it’s looking at the http version of the site and excluding it from the index even though I’ve submitted a sitemap and single URL indexing with the https version. I’ll continue to battle with Bing so I can start diversifying my traffic sources. On the Google search side, I’m starting to gain some momentum as the month of December went on and I’d like to continue the growth moving into January.

Looking forward into January the key tasks I want to complete are: fix the Bing indexing issue and 4-6 new blog posts.

File Token Calculator for OpenAI

This site I don’t plan on building out long term as I really don’t have an interest in it. However it will give a good representation on how a single page website performs over time. You can already see Google may have axed it from it’s algorithm or maybe it was a holiday lull as I don’t see non-working professionals using this tool in their off hours.

Fortunately, this site indexed fine into Bing which is odd since I took the same steps on my other website. I think I may use this site as a banner / footer ads place holder for my other website in an effort to build some backlinks for it.

Indie Hacking New Year’s Resolution

In previous years, I’ve always set multiple goals for myself and never really followed through with any. I’m not sure if this year will be any different since I have a history of giving up, but this year I have a singular goal. That goal is to build a legitimate side hustle and dedicate at a minimum of 30-60 minutes a day towards it.

That project I’ve already decided on and will show up in next month’s recap.

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $100.23 (not including the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: 1 (1/3 if you count all my picks)
• Expert Winners Picked: 1 (1/10 if you count all expert picks)
• Last Week’s Picks: Hero World Challenge 2024

A Glimpse into the 2025 The Sentry Tournament

I started this experiment at an odd time with the Hero World Challenge and then a few week waiting period before the true season start at The Sentry. The first attempt proved to be a success in the fact I won a whopping $0.23 which I’d normally take a no loss any week for golf betting, but considering it was a 20 player field it was not surprising to come out ahead.

Back to the tournament at hand, this is a limited field capped at 60 players comprised of all tournament winners from 2024 as well as the top 50 in last season’s FedEx Cup standings. With such a small field there's fortunately no cut line to worry about, but this also doesn’t allow for a full on test of our man vs machine betting challenge.

The course details:

• Course: Plantation Course at Kapalua
• Location: Kapalua, Hawaii
• Par 73
• Grass Type: Celebration Bermuda
• Past Winners: Chris Kirk -29 (2024), Jon Rahm -27 (2023), Cameron Smith (2022), Harris English (2021), Justin Thomas -20 (2020)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

The popular picks this week for the experts look to be Colin Morikawa leading the wat followed by Justin Thomas, Akshay Bhatia and Sahith Theegala. Personally I’m hoping Barry Plummer is on the right track given AI’s picks for this week matching his.

Who I Picked To Win?

Based on the analysis, the AI determined the following players to win which is not surprising for Xander and Colin given they have the best odds. However, Max Homa who can be considered a long shot at +4500 to win entered the top 3 to win.

• Xander Schauffele – 25% chance to win
• Colin Morikawa – 20% chance to win
• Max Homa – 15% chance to win

Then when factoring in the Kelly Criterion to place the bet, Xander was completely removed meaning the $5 bet was split between Colin Morikawa and Max Homa. Morikawa is receiving $2.92 of the bet and Homa is receiving the remaining $2.08.

Assuming Scottie Scheffler didn’t get hurt, he would have been the most likely pick to win. With him out for the next few weeks, Xander will likely be the player to beat over the next few tournaments. I’m very curious to see how this weeks plays out given the surprising Max Homa pick. I’d have assumed the AI would always err on the side of caution and pick the best odds each week

Results So Far:

• Starting Bankroll: $100
• Current Bankroll: $95 (includes the bets for this week)
• Outright Winners Picked: N/A
• Expert Winners Picked: N/A

A Glimpse into the 2024 Hero World Challenge

This is an unusual time to start betting on golf as it's the off-season for the PGA tour, but what can I say I'm excited to try this method of analysis and betting out. It will be our first glimpse into man vs machine when it comes to golf betting though I'd assume many experts are also using some type of machine learning algorithms to help place their bets.

This is a limited field capped at 20 of the world's best players, but also some of Tiger Woods best friends who may not truly deserve to be there. With such a small field there's fortunately no cut line to worry about, but this also likens to one player getting hot and running away with the tournament early on.

The course details:

• Course: Albany GC
• Location: Nassau, Bahamas
• Par 72
• Grass Type: Bermuda
• Past Winners: Scottie Scheffler -20 (2023), Viktor Hovland -16 (2023), Viktor Hovland -18 (2022), Henrik Stenson -18 (2020), Jon Rahm -20 (2019)

Who The Experts Picked To Win?

Who I Picked To Win?

Based on the analysis, the AI determined the following players to win which is not surprising considering they have the best 3 odds.

• Scottie Scheffler – 35% chance to win
• Ludvig Aberg – 15% chance to win
• Justin Thomas – 20% chance to win

The $5 was distributed across the players with Scottie Scheffler receiving $1.61, Ludvig Aberg receiving $1.31 and Justin Thomas receiving $2.08 with their associated payouts below.

Overall, Scottie Scheffler was the most obvious pick to win given his odds, but it seems that the experts and AI both had a general consensus of Justin Thomas winning this week. We'll see if he gets the new mythical new dad boost.

Hero World Challenge 2024 Results

My plan is to publish the results of the week in the most current week’s picks, however given the gap in tournaments I’m appending an edit to the end of this post to make it.

Week 1 of the AI golf betting experiment was a success correctly selecting Scottie Scheffler to win the tournament. At one point in the second round Scheffler, JT and Aberg were the top 3 on the leaderboard giving me a huge boost in confidence. While the net payout was only $0.23 it beats losing $5. This will likely be the easiest tournament for AI to select given it had a 15% chance of selecting the winner, whereas a typical PGA tour event would be closer to a 2% chance given the increased field size.

Now we have an extended break over the holidays while we wait for the The Sentry tournament in Hawaii starting on January 2nd.